NFL player props · paper record
Every pick, graded in public
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Units over time
★ Premium vs base
By market
Every graded pick
How this record is kept
Posted before kickoff. Each pick is logged with a timestamp before its game starts (about two hours before kickoff since Week 7), at the best price available then. Picks are never edited or removed.
Graded automatically from the official box score. A player who doesn't play is a void (stake returned), as at most sportsbooks.
Units. 1U is one standard stake. Favorites risk enough to win the units; underdogs risk the units. ★ Premium picks (2U+) are the model's highest-confidence plays, tagged when posted.
Beat the close compares our price with the market about 30 minutes before kickoff. Consistently getting a better number than the closing line is the strongest early sign of a real edge, well before win/loss settles down.